Market - EnergyByte

June 2025 Reflections

The Q2-25 forward price gradually declined well below pre-quarter expectations given the softer spot outcomes. This affected the sentiment for all future quarters causing expectations and forward prices to soften. However, before the quarter ended, the stars aligned and June gripped with vengeance.

8 min read Jul 3, 2025

Market public

Thu 26th June 2025 Event

Carl Daley

Last night delivered severe market price conditions. Triple ‘C ‘Day weather conditions (cold, calm, cloudy) eliminated wind generation and drive peak heating demand. This event shifts market price perceptions as well as being both a warning and a roadmap, for building a more resilient energy future.

10 min read Jun 27, 2025

Events public

January 2024 sets records

Carl Daley

The summer of 2024 has begun, and the month of January has set records at two ends of the spectrum.

3 min read Feb 1, 2024

Market paid

Market Rules and the Numbers

Carl Daley

The rules are the rules, but prevailing numbers can move around driven by changes in perceptions. What an ending to the financial year. This article reflects on the rules learnt and then makes observations of the last two quarters in the context of the changing market conditions.

5 min read Jul 6, 2023

Market public

Market finally listening ... and prices slump

Carl Daley

On the 24 October we wrote an article about the market poking the bear and acting as if it is tone deaf to Government actions. Well, it appears the market had a Cochlear ear implant, and is now listening.

1 min read Nov 10, 2022

Market public

Biggest market correction in history

Carl Daley

Following the record daily jump in forward prices 16 business days ago, the market had the biggest single day downward correction.

2 min read Nov 1, 2022

Market public

Market players are poking the bear ...

Carl Daley

Market players have been poking the bear, and the bear has responded which will destroy future value for private entities, and the high energy prices place the economy at risk, at a time when it can least afford it.

8 min read Oct 24, 2022

Market public

Procuring a better world ...

Carl Daley

After a 2-year break, Procurement Australia held their annual conference and invited Carl Daley to speak.

4 min read Sep 5, 2022

Market public

Iceberg Lettuce and Power Prices

Carl Daley

Have you wondered what iceberg lettuce prices and power prices have in common? I’m not sure, but they are almost perfectly correlated.

1 min read Aug 4, 2022

Market paid

Wind and Solar Farm Performance FY-21/22

Carl Daley, Eric Chan

The best performing wind farm and solar farm has been derived for the financial year ending 30 June 2022.

1 min read Jul 12, 2022

Market public

Capacity Mechanism needs electric vehicles

Carl Daley

The Energy Security Board has released the high-level design for a Capacity Mechanism, but where is the discussion around renewable powered electric vehicles?

5 min read Jun 22, 2022

Market public

Challenging election power prices

Carl Daley

Australia has voted for a change of Government, and as the Labor Party settles-in living with the largest crossbench in history, the timing of the handover from the Coalition carries challenging circumstances. Energy prices are no exception.

2 min read May 23, 2022